Extraordinary Weekly Excess Death Figures since July 2021 need urgent investigation!

See also our report under the Natural Health tab, ‘An urgent need for investigation: Excess deaths from July 2021’.

>> Click here to watch Andrew Bridgen’s speech on excess deaths in the parliamentary debate 16th January 2024, or on the YouTube video picture below.

Weekly mortality figures

Introduction

The Office of National Statistics publishes figures for weekly deaths in England and Wales. These are generally published between 1 and 2 weeks in arrears for the current year. From these published figures it is possible to build a picture of overall mortality in England and Wales during the course of the recent pandemic and compare this with previous years. All figures from the ONS, assumed to be accurate, at https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/weeklyprovisionalfiguresondeathsregisteredinenglandandwales. However, it is worth noting that there are significant questions around the diagnostics used for determining ‘Covid cases’, e.g. around the accuracy of PCR tests.

Summary (info provided by J.S., our math/statistics expert)

Since early July of 2021 a concerning and continuing trend has emerged of higher non-COVID mortality figures. We are seeing a trend of increased weekly mortality in England and Wales which is not due to COVID.

It is easier to see this trend in the charts (below and under our Natural Health tab). The first is for the year 2021, the second chart is for 2022, the third for 2023 continues the trend. For help in interpreting the charts, see below under ‘A note on how to read the charts’.

At the start of 2024 the ONS changed the way they publish the weekly mortality figures, and they no longer publish in an accessible form (to my knowledge) a weekly breakdown for COVID related deaths by age range. Total COVID related deaths are still published.

It is nevertheless still possible to continue researching the total weekly mortality in England and Wales as before and including the total mortality involving COVID with the proviso mentioned. It has nevertheless become more difficult to extract the relevant figures from the newly designed tables (some would ask, why have they done this?). However we expect to continue publishing updates during this 2024 year but on a monthly rather than a weekly basis. These figures will be accompanied by a chart in the same way as before.

Many in the alternative media have also commented on excess deaths, with a deafening silence otherwise from politicians, mainstream media and health services. What does come as mention and attempted explanation are unsatisfactory even from a modestly scientific viewpoint — as pointed out by Dr John Campbell in his excellent video of 11 January 2023, which we reproduce on our website – click here to go to the post. The means to investigate “are not rocket science”, he notes, known and successfully used for over half a century, but are inexplicably not being used now. Because of the change in January 2024 in how ONS report on mortality figures, the “official” excess death numbers reported have (magically) suddenly dropped at the start of 2024, so that authorities can now say that excess deaths are “Officially” back to normal. There is a very fishy element involved!

The 2021 Chart:

The 2022 Chart:

The drop in mortality is typical in the final week of the year and partly due to anomalies in the data collection, also seen on bank holiday weekends. Total mortality for the year 2022 was 576,896 for England and Wales and includes 33,140 attributed to COVID. Thus 543,756 deaths not from COVID. These figures are from the ONS. The BBC is saying ‘over 650,000’ for the whole of UK.

The 2023 chart:

Update for end of December 2023:

The 2023 chart is now complete for the year. The last week of 2023 shows a drop in mortality to slightly below the 10-year average; however this is partly due to the anomaly of date collection on bank holiday periods, as shown for all three charts above. What is clear from the 2023 chart is that the weekly mortality has exceeded the 10-year average in nearly all the weeks of the last half of the year. Indeed it has exceeded the weekly 10-year maximum in most weeks.

The 2024 Chart

The chart above gives a visual impression of the situation so far this year. We will see how it continues. So far it is following the same pattern as the previous two years.

The ONS has also changed the way they compare excess mortality in their published tables, however this does not affect the figures used in this research which are based, as in all previous years 2020 to 2023 inclusive, on the maximum, minimum and average figures for the years 2010 to 2019.

The figures for 2024 up to the week ending Friday 12 April (week 15) are shown below and from which we can see that already there have been over 11,000 more deaths this year than would be expected.

Total Excess deaths for 2020 – 2023.
These are compared to the weekly averages over the 10 years 2010 to 2019.
Corresponding figures (excess deaths) for the years since 2019 are:
2020 93,471
2021 72,780
2022 63,777
2023 68,179

The chart headed ‘Annual deaths – England and Wales’ shows that there have been a steadily decreasing number of deaths due to COVID but a steadily increasing non-COVID mortality. Indeed 2023 shows the highest mortality of any year since 2010 if we do not include deaths from COVID.

When will the government look into this? Their current uninterested stand is a criminal neglect.

Please note that the reference years for averages, maxima and minima are the 10 years 2010 to 2019 inclusive.

The following chart shows the breakdown for different age groups for the same time period (2023 up until 10th November):

A note on how to read the graphs:

• It’s easier to see the alarming trend by looking at the black and purple lines in the above charts.
• The two solid green lines, upper and lower, respectively plot the maximum and minimum weekly deaths in the 10 years 2010-2019. In the middle of these two solid green lines is the dotted green line which is the 10-year average.
• The black line is a plot of the total weekly deaths for the current year.
• The purple line is a plot of the non-covid deaths for the current year.
• The blue line, near the bottom, is a plot of the covid deaths for the current year.
• Note that the dates at the bottom of each chart apply to the specific year of the chart, and correspond to weeks 1 to 52 when applied to the green lines for earlier years.

Charts for 2021 and 2022 excess deaths

Further Discussion on the Mortality figures above the 10-year maximum

During the height of the pandemic in the Spring of 2020, and again later in that year, weekly mortality was significantly higher than the corresponding weekly maximum for the previous 10 years, 2010 – 2019. In 2021 the mortality has fallen off and by early March the figures were ‘normal’ in the sense of what you might expect in a population of some 60 million. An idea of ‘normality’ can be obtained by considering the dotted green line in the above charts, this is the average weekly mortality over the years 2010 to 2019. The Upper and Lower green lines are the maximum and minimum weekly mortalities for the same 10 year period. Between March and June of 2021 the weekly mortality figures had roughly fallen within these maxima and minima, which is what you would expect.

A worrying trend is in motion since the beginning of July 2021: the total death rate for England and Wales has been rising significantly above the rolling 10-year maximum — and staying there until the end of 2021. There is then a dip in figures for approximately 3 months, where the death rate remains above average but not the maximum.

From April 2022, however, the trend again rises and from June it persists above the 10 year maximum, up until the present (the dips for bank holiday weekends are an anomaly of the data collection systems.) See figures given above (under ‘Figures for the 2022 chart’). These excess deaths exclude those attributed to Covid. What can be the cause? Governments and mainstream media are scrambling to give explanations, most ignoring the elephant in the room: vaccinations. The excess deaths have risen since the start of the vaccination campaign, and many scientists and doctors are now pointing to the disturbing connection.

SEE ALSO the post: “Died Suddenly documentary and excess deaths“

SEE ALSO the article on ResearchGate, US state-wise VAERS COVID19 injection death rate predict state-wise 2021 excess all cause mortality rate